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Another predict came true? Cramer: Housing Has Officially Bottomed

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Residential real estate has finally found a floor, Cramer told viewers on Tuesday. The sector's long, steep descent is all but over. He had predicted this day would come by the end of June, and he was right – with just two weeks to spare.
How can Cramer be so sure? New housing data reported today showed a dramatic change for the better, especially in some of the hardest-hit areas in the US. That news, along with much lower prices and the working off of inventory, validate his prediction, made last August, that housing would stabilize this month, ending its multiyear declines.
What does a bottom look like? It's the combination of ramping sales, and sales in certain areas are up ten times those of last year, and an end to falling prices. That's exactly what we've seen for the past three months, Cramer said.
Of course, this doesn't mean home prices skyrocket right back to their bubbly heights. Cramer's call was about only price stabilization, not appreciation.
Also, don't think the new starts, combined with foreclosures, will lead to a new glut of inventory. Builders aren't going to make that mistake, Cramer said, putting up homes they can't sell. Nor do the banks need to rush foreclosed homes back onto the market. They now have the capital, thanks to Washington and a spate of secondary offerings, to hold on until they get their price.
Finally, if you're wondering why the market didn't rally because of housing starts, that's because people are as blind to the bottom as they were to the top, Cramer said. But you can't wait for some analyst to make the call. You have to buy now if you want to make some money.
I don't think we would follow what is Cramer said or do what Cramer told you to do; it's a prediction, however.
http://www.cnbc.com/id/31388528
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June 17 - Lancaster
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Profile picture for azrob
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cramer has been so wrong so often though, I'd say doing the opposite of whatever he says would be the smarter move!
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June 17
Profile picture for space_acer
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Lady C- seems the similar homes dropping to below 500K.

What did they sell for prior to the bubble years ?

 
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June 19
Profile picture for Lady Chattel
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I am none to worried about missing out on anything.  Here is a clear example of why:
A friend just sold their home for $800K, they bought it in Dec 2005 for $1,025,000 and here is a comparable home nearby  in good condition bank owned home selling for $630K.  And for every home that is listed there are several more that are vacant and not listed....... 
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June 19
Profile picture for MJCLEAN
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Hey Lady, I agree 100% with you. We ARE in the eye, lets just hope this storm doesn't pick up any more warm air.
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June 19
Profile picture for Lady Chattel
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I am seeing a lot of sold signs in my area, however I believe it is a false bottom and that now that gas prices are near $3 again Americans will start being squeezed again and the vicious cycle will once again gain momentum.  Perhaps we are just inside the eye of the hurricane......which is a bit of calm before the other side of the storm hits. 
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June 19
Profile picture for sunnyview
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Cramer is fun to watch if you like that yelly high energy low info thing, but he has been wrong so big in the recent past that at this point it is sort of like watching Rush Limbaugh rail against drug abuse. Scary and sad at the same time.
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June 19
Profile picture for BMFPitt
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Maybe next year he can go back on the Daily Show for another beating based on this prediction.  Of course, house prices can't fall to near zero in the next week - so this is an improvement over his Bear Sterns call.
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June 19
Profile picture for spencer
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Sorry, but Cramer is wrong on this one. Wish he were right, but he ain't.

Blog post on this topic here.
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June 18
I heard Cramer say that housing had bottomed too - well...  let's hope so.  Personally I think that housing will be painfully slow for the rest of this year because credit policy is tight (did you see the new Obama regulatory programs today?), unemployment is too high, and the availability of commercial credit is not helping business owners.  We are seeing a lot of action here in the FTHB market, but that's because people are getting smokin deals on homes they could not ordinarily afford in a healthy RE market.  I like Cramer - he makes me laugh, but I wish he hadn't said that because I will feel bad for him if he has to retract it.
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June 17
Profile picture for space_acer
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Have fun... lots of mud that sticks

 
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jim_Cramer
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June 17
Profile picture for space_acer
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Poor Jim Cramer... lives in Summit NJ and prices are still falling..

already down +20% and not a thing he can do about it.

Zillow Chart on Summit, NJ

Med Home Prices went from under 300K to over 800K within 3 years!  

Like thats normal...happens every 3 years folks.

Would even 300K to 600K in 5 years sound any less of a bubble!!

Put the crack pipe down Jimmy Boy!!!!
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June 17
Profile picture for wenchypoo
When Cramer starts selling real estate, then I'll listen to him.

He's a former hedge fund manager--emphasis on FORMER.  He's no longer in the business for a reason...probably because he's so bad at it.

CNBC is an infoTAINMENT channel, meaning it intends to entertain you with financial "news", whether that news is useful and factual or not.  In other words, the network has 24 hours a day to kill, so they bring in the likes of Cramer to help kill it.  Cramer is COMMENTARY and OPINION, and not reporting the facts.

That channel is only useful to me when oil numbers come out on Wednesdays at 10:30, and that's it.  Otherwise, I hardly look at it.
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June 17
Profile picture for Menudo Bongo
Hoang,

You sure are funny.

Cramer was telling everybody to hold on to Bear Stern, one day before it collapsed.

He was stating that Lehman is a great buy 1 week before it went under.

Cramer is not credible at all.
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June 17
Profile picture for real estate mike
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Cramer is good for entertainment value. No one can predict the bottom in advance, it's only after that we know when it was. If someone could do that they wouldn't need a t.v. show or a network contract. The home builders would pay them $$. Jobs are the key not some temporary year over year numbers.
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June 17
Profile picture for White Picture
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Not like Us, if We make wrong the prediction, we can make another "predict" and no ones got hurt, Cramer, He sure more careful, because of if he predicted some thing wrong, the peoples will not listen to him no more, therefore the media won't sign the new contract with him.
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June 17
Profile picture for mysql
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considering that prices are still dropping, half of the sales are foreclosures, and people are losing jobs at alarming rates, I would have to disagree with his claims that we've hit bottom.

In fact, we're only just now getting close to where things should be with a 4% inflation markup in terms of prices in some markets - and we all know there will be overcorrection.
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June 17
Profile picture for azrob
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"bear stearns is fine!" "do not take your money out of bear" Linky
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June 17
Profile picture for azrob
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we will see in a year or so if he was right;
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June 17
 

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