Better housing turnover south of route 287?

Profile picture for analytical
As indicated in my earlier posts, the inventory of million dollar homes for sale in Armonk/ North Castle will take 2.5 years to sell at current sales rates.  The situation is similar in Chappaqua.  However, as you get closer to Manhattan, i,e, south of 287, the situation is better.  Larchmont has 5 months of million dollar inventory, Rye 6 months and Scarsdale 1 year.  The home price index has dropped from the peak in all these areas  by about 30%.  However, the drop has been about 5% greater in the southern towns. Would it help if the northern towns dropped their prices 5-10%?? (data per Redfin and Zillow)
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June 23 2010 - Armonk
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Answers (7)

Profile picture for robin398
One town that has good and bad turnover is Harrison.  Harrison is divided by I-287.  West Harrison and Purchase are north of I-287 and downtown Harrison is on the south side of I-287.  The part of West Harrison that is doing well is Park Lane Reserve.  There is a pick-up of houses sold within the last 6 months although housing prices are about 20-25% less that when these single family properties were originally listed.  Single family homes and multi-family properties in downtown Harrison are not doing as well.  There was a 15-20% property tax hike in Harrison this year prompting many homeowners to put their homes on the market.  Unfortunately, not much is selling and these properties remain on the market.
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July 15 2010
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In nearby Greenwich, CT, Mel Gibson's estate recently sold for $29.7 million after coming down almost 30% in price.  Here is the link:

http://today.msnbc.msn.com/id/38036162/ns/today-entertainment/
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July 03 2010
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Analytical,

Do you actually have access to the MLS to configure your statistics?  The absorption rate for each town can be used by this example:

http://activerain.com/blogsview/20685/How-Absorption-Rate-is

Robin Lynch
Keller Williams Realty Group
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July 03 2010
Profile picture for robin398

By only cutting your price by 5-10% will not make a difference in this market.  This market cannot bear the highest price listed.  The properties that are being sold are priced 30-35% lower than the original listing price and selling.  The point is to bring the price down to a different price bracket therefore allowing more potential buyers to take an interest in the property.

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July 03 2010
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Robin,

You suggest there is a need for a 30-35% price reduction.  That sounds like a lot, but you may be right.  A beautiful 5200 sf house on 2.1 acres just sold for $258 per sf.  I checked, and in North Castle, there are 28 homes for sale with over 5000 sf and under 3 acres.  The average list is $376 per sf. (The range is from $220 to $600 per sf)  So the recent sale was 31% below the average list per sf.  I should mention that there were 2 other houses sold within the past 3 months of similar size and they sold for $371 per sf and $414 per sf.  Soooo,  some people get lucky!  Still, at the rate houses are selling, it will take 28 months to sell those 28 homes!!
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July 02 2010
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Honestly, the properties that are selling in Area 2 in Westchester County which includes Bedford, New Castle, North Castle, Lewisboro, Pound Ridge, North Salem and Somers need to drop their prices of $1,000,000 to about 30%-35% off those prices for those properties to sell in this market.
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July 02 2010
Profile picture for robin398

Hi analytical,

Homeowners that have their properties priced over $1,000,000 need to drop their home prices by 40% if they want their properties to sell in this market.

Robin Lynch
Keller Williams Realty Group

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June 26 2010
 

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