Can a Zestimate be affected by short sales and sales from surrounding states?

Profile picture for NCarraway
I live on the Attleboro/Pawtucket, RI line and I'm afraid the lower comps from RI and the short sales/foreclosures nearby in both RI and MA (which is pretty much the market right now) are lowering the Zestimate of my home. My home has lost $50k in value in one year. Is there a way to tell Zillow not to include certain homes in their comps and formula, which are foreclosures or are located in another state which has a vastly different real estate market despite it only being 1/2 mile away? (ex..4/2 home sells for $250+ in MA, $210 or less in RI but Zillow is including RI sold homes and foreclosures/short sales in my MA Zestimate)
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January 30 - Attleboro
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Answers (2)

Profile picture for amyullenremax
NCarraway,

I can't speak to how Zillow calculates their Zestimates - only that they don't necessarily reflect market values.

Yes - short sales and foreclosures in a close proximity will affect your current market value perception.  I am familiar with your area and it's not uncommon for people to make a move over the state line.  If you are on the market now and there is a comp house just over the state line that is priced lower because it's a short sale - then it's going to affect you.

Amy
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January 31
Profile picture for Pasadenan
No, absolutely not, unless the short sales already affected the sale price of homes in your county at least 2 months prior.

First, the modeling is done by county, thus anything in a different county is not included in the economic model.

Second, Zillow specifically excludes all Foreclosures, REO's, Short Sales and other distressed sales as well as family transfers in the modeling.  If it is clear it is a Foreclosure, REO, or short sale to begin with from the public records, it is excluded right from the start in the "recent sales" modeling.  And each of the recent sales is tested against the model, and removed from the modeling if the sold price is substantially different than the model implies, thus removing most other "special case" transactions.

Read the Zillow Research blog and the related white-paper on the issue:
Price Difference Between Foreclosures and non-foreclosures.

By the way, Zillow has never used a "comparable" method for their modeling.  It is not a "CMA" no matter what any agent may tell you.  And the "see similar sales" is produced after the estimates are derived, not vice-versa.
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January 30
 

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