Housing to Be Wealth Builder?

Profile picture for davekres
Article on opinions on whether home-ownership is likely to be a wealth builder: http://www.realtor.org/RMODaily.nsf/pages/News2010090102?OpenDocument

The housing market may stabilize, but some economists believe that real estate will never again be the investment it once was.

Stan Humphries, chief economist for Zillow.com, predicts that in the future housing values will only keep up with inflation. "All those theories advanced during the boom about why housing is special ? that more people are choosing to spend more on housing, that more people are moving to the coasts, that we were running out of usable land ? didn't hold up."

Dean Baker, co-director of the Center for Economic and Policy Research, says it will take 20 years for the market to recover the $6 trillion lost since 2005 and values will never catch up.

Bob Walters, chief economist of the online mortgage firm Quicken, is more optimistic. "You have to live somewhere," he says. "In three or four years, people will resume a normal course, and home values will continue to increase."
  Flag content
Close
Report a Problem

Please enter a valid email address.

Close
Content flagged

We will review this content. Thanks for helping make the site more useful to everyone. To learn more, read Zillow's Good Neighbor Policy.

Close
We're Sorry
This service is temporarily unavailable. Please come back later and try again.
September 03 2010 - US
  • Be a Good Neighbor. Be respectful and on-topic. No spam or self-promotion! See our Good Neighbor Policy.

Answers (5)

Profile picture for hpvanc
Bob Walters, chief economist of the online mortgage firm Quicken, is more optimistic. "You have to live somewhere," he says. "In three or four years, people will resume a normal course, and home values will continue to increase."

Let's remember that the normal course is appreciation at close to the inflation rate over time.  That is with out factoring in the evolution of the typical home over time.  When you factor in the improvements that have been added to the typical home (i.e. amenities and amenities that are now considered necessities), and the growth is size of the typical home, the real rate of return has probably been negative.  So the only investment return will be the hedge against inflation, assuming we can get inflation restarted.
  Flag content
Close
Report a Problem

Please enter a valid email address.

Close
Content flagged

We will review this content. Thanks for helping make the site more useful to everyone. To learn more, read Zillow's Good Neighbor Policy.

Close
We're Sorry
This service is temporarily unavailable. Please come back later and try again.
September 03 2010
Profile picture for Dunes....
I think you would have to have some sort of agreed definition of "Wealth Builder" to have a discussion about was it or is it.

Do you mean the "Go ahead and buy because all RE appreciates?" or the "Get an ARM loan because it appreciates and you'll be able to refinance?", "I live in a $400,000 home I'm wealthy?"
or "It will appreciate and you can get an Equity Loan to buy that RV you want?".

Many of the "RE INVESTORS" I have met in my life were/are 2 bit millionaires...

25 cents in their Pocket and a million dollars on paper
  Flag content
Close
Report a Problem

Please enter a valid email address.

Close
Content flagged

We will review this content. Thanks for helping make the site more useful to everyone. To learn more, read Zillow's Good Neighbor Policy.

Close
We're Sorry
This service is temporarily unavailable. Please come back later and try again.
September 03 2010
Profile picture for broker_GRI
*Now chuckling* at "investors who can can"

*men in business suits wearing the ruffled can can skirt dancing with $'s in their hands comes to mind :-)*

  Flag content
Close
Report a Problem

Please enter a valid email address.

Close
Content flagged

We will review this content. Thanks for helping make the site more useful to everyone. To learn more, read Zillow's Good Neighbor Policy.

Close
We're Sorry
This service is temporarily unavailable. Please come back later and try again.
September 03 2010
Profile picture for broker_GRI
I have a theory that something like this will happen again and probably again. Based on the fact that it has happened before and we (humane beings) seem to forget or discount the lesson.

Of course housing can be a wealth builder, so can stocks, long term saving, building a business, the lottery....

With potential gain comes potential loss...we were all optimistic for the gain, now let us realize without downplay and remember the potential for loss.
There are investors who can can take those risks while financially surviving and there are consumers who cannot.
  Flag content
Close
Report a Problem

Please enter a valid email address.

Close
Content flagged

We will review this content. Thanks for helping make the site more useful to everyone. To learn more, read Zillow's Good Neighbor Policy.

Close
We're Sorry
This service is temporarily unavailable. Please come back later and try again.
September 03 2010
Profile picture for dacolan
The housing market may stabilize, but some economists believe that real estate will never again be the investment it once was.

First, anything referenced from Realtor.org has suspect credibility.

Second, Yale economics professor Robert Shiller's research has documented the avg appreciation for the national residential RE market was less than 1% after adjusting for inflation for the 100 year period prior to the bubble. The housing market was never the investment the RE industry has led us to believe.
  Flag content
Close
Report a Problem

Please enter a valid email address.

Close
Content flagged

We will review this content. Thanks for helping make the site more useful to everyone. To learn more, read Zillow's Good Neighbor Policy.

Close
We're Sorry
This service is temporarily unavailable. Please come back later and try again.
September 03 2010
 

Have a question? Ask it here.

What's this?
Close

By starting a discussion, you can expect more of an interactive, back-and-forth experience where the conversation can go in many different directions.

Or start a discussion

E-mail successfully sent!Submission failed!

Related Questions
Profile picture for Sherri Bloom
Questioni would like to by a house in foreclosure but i don't know how to start
  • Latest answer by Sherri Bloom
  • 2 days ago
Profile picture for Joseph  Radosta
QuestionWhat is the best city to buy rental properties?
  • Latest answer by Joseph Radosta
  • 3 days ago
Profile picture for Michael MacDonald
QuestionCan you tell me approximately the value of the property located at 1642 North Columbia Place, Decatu
  • Latest answer by Michael MacDonald
  • 6 days ago
Profile picture for Nicholas Ribeiro
QuestionDo you have rent to own listings?
  • Latest answer by Nicholas Ribeiro
  • January 29
Profile picture for Nicholas Ribeiro
Questionhow does rent to own typically work
  • Latest answer by Nicholas Ribeiro
  • January 29
Related Articles about Rent vs. Buy
GuideOwning vs Renting a Home
GuideHow to do Lease option - by Example
GuideHome Rental Guide
GuideWhich is Better? Renting or Buying?
Current Mortgage Rates
CurrentLast Week
Compare mortgage rates

Zillow Mortgage Marketplace

Be A Good Neighbor

Zillow® Advice depends on each member to keep it a safe, fun, and positive place. If you see abuse, flag it. More on our Good Neighbor Policy