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I'm ONLY one, who had true prediction of California real estate's recovery.

Profile picture for White Picture
Contributions: 1956
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Since March 2009

While many given wrong predictions, one of them is Shakespeare's successor from AZ.
The median price of a home in Southern California surged 6.4 percent in June from May, as a long-stifled wave of high-end properties hit the market, a real estate tracking firm said Wednesday.
The median price in the six-county area climbed to $265,000 last month from $249,000 in May, accounting for a second consecutive month-to- month increase, MDA DataQuick said.
DataQuick attributed the jump to an increasing number of deals above $500,000, as more buyers responded to price cuts. Resales of such homes rose to 19.6percent of all sales in June, up from a low of 13.4percent in January.
http://www.dailynews.com/ ... _12845557

Another prediction is Florida will follow California real estate's recovery, like Husband and Wife, where is the Husband going the Wife will follow.
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July 18 - US

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Profile picture for azrob
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higher priced foreclosures hitting the market = recovery?

by the way, even in the great depression, the stock market had up periods...
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July 18
Profile picture for White Picture
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Since March 2009

http://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/At-lower-450k-price-range-there-is-no-home-for-you-to-buy-in-South-Orange-county-CA/257686/

Above link is from the other post, at lower $450k range, there is lesser than 1 month of inventory, Los Angeles is do as same. At lower $500k range if you offer at listing's price then the most chance is, there will be no counter offer from the seller (of course those properties is priced at right prices), My grand family usually bids from $5k to $40k over the asking prices, they hadn't get any answers or counter offers from the sellers.
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July 18
Profile picture for White Picture
Contributions: 1956
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Since March 2009

Last month you predicted there will be massive of the snakes and lizards coming to California, that make me almost go to the city of Los Angeles to apply for the restaurant license of sales of the fry snakes and roast lizards, it turn out not any of them came to CA.
If your prediction was true, with their speed, they had to be in CA by now!  
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July 18
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Why don't you just talk about the under $15k range???  There are plenty of them in Misssissippi, but you won't find many of them presently in Southern California... but so what?  It is irrelivant, and the present values are still declining, inspite of any imaginary leveling off that some charts may temporarily show.

18 months ago, there were only 2 condos in Pasadena at the $300k price range, and NOTHING below.  Now there are dosens, including some single family houses on their own lot.  And yet, as the charts posted on another thread show, the median value of all ownership units in Pasadena is still 25% higher than the median value of all ownership units in Hoang's area.


For Californian's, if the Husband doesn't go where the wife wants, the wife gets a divorse and takes 50% of all assets with her.  And the courts will usually award her with the house.  And the husband usually gets stuck making the alimony payments even if she walked out.

So are you stating that the Florida State Government Bonds will be downgraded to a B- or C+ as well?

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July 18
Profile picture for azrob
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well, to agree with haong, there are definitely tons of buyers now, particularly at lower price points... Prices have stabalized, maybe even rising at lower priced areas.

BUT:
1. california budget ( leading to more layoffs, salary cuts)
2. california unemployment (still rising!)
3. california delinquincies on loans, still rising!
4. moratoriums/delays on foreclosures. Ending, and do not solve the problem, merely creating ARTIFICIAL lack of homes for sale.
5. Option arm loan crisis coming.
6. Vacancy on rentals high, rents dropping.

7. Snakes and lizards heading to california! (ok they turned into state issued IOU's!!!!)

So, we have a temporary rising market in some areas, but the overall trend is still quite bad. Lets give this a year, and see what happens?
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July 18
Profile picture for White Picture
Contributions: 1956
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Since March 2009

* Why don't you just talk about the under $15k range???  There are plenty of them in Misssissippi.
We talk about California.
* The median value of all ownership units in Pasadena is still 25% higher than the median value of all ownership units in Hoang's area.
Pasadena is high price area, that was no wonder Pasadena's housing prices is higher north west of Los Angeles. 
*For Californian's, if the Husband doesn't go where the wife wants, the wife gets a divorse.
"where is the Husband going the Wife will follow". well... it is not alway, but usually.
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July 18
Profile picture for White Picture
Contributions: 1956
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Since March 2009

1. california budget ( leading to more layoffs, salary cuts)
California's budget always crisis.
2. california unemployment (still rising!)
The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate in Los Angeles County dropped to 11.3 percent in June, down from 11.6 percent in May, the state Economic Development Department reported today.(Inline with CA real estate recovery)
http://www.dailynews.com/business/ci_12859833
3. california delinquincies on loans, still rising!
Many of them are intend from the ones, who want modification of their mortgages.
4. moratoriums/delays on foreclosures. Ending.
That must be a good new since we needed more foreclosures come to the market to satisfy the demand of CA real estate market right now.
5. Option arm loan crisis coming.
Don't see it, still.
6. Vacancy on rentals high, rents dropping.
Rental's price of South CA was up 2.7% from last year.
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July 18
 

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