Interest Rates Tomarrow...

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What is everybody's "expert" opinion on what interest rates will do after tomarow's fed meeting? What will happen with no cut? a .25 cut? a .5 cut?
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October 30 2007 - US

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I think .25 - dow will rally, and the bond yield go up to 4.30

If its .5 , look for a big day for the DOW, and bond yield to 4.60

if there is NO cut, then look for the DOW to crash somewhat, and the yield to plunge to 4.25
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October 30 2007
Profile picture for DebtFreeDave
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I think .25, The rate sheets seem to be going that direction. The experts on cnbc seem to think the same thing. I still don't think that we should have to pay for the credit crisis. Let it get worked out in the market.
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October 30 2007
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Gentlemen

Should I use that Loosely LOL....Just Kidding.

I'm also with 0.25%, but it would Not surprise me if they made No move.

If they do lower it, I'm certain the bond yield will rise just temporaary basis- then fall again as usual when the dust settles.

ok that's my 2 cents worth for today.
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October 30 2007
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Up .25%... wont help anybody with their loan resets though...
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October 30 2007
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And it will keep putting pressure on our weak dollar... possibly push inflation up, and maybe push the 30yr fix rate up also... I hope they don't raise though.
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October 30 2007
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Ooops... I mean down..lol
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October 30 2007
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btw.. Im not your bro. sukka
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October 30 2007
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You continue to show your deep level of intelligence.....
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October 30 2007
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never mind him Corona. Business is a tad slow lately. On the bright side they just came out with Prime Rib flavored Ramon. Yeah Nic!!
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October 30 2007
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Thanks
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October 30 2007
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Hamp Yonce

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I think the consumer confidence report almost guarantees a quarter and brings another half point surprise into play.
I'm taking the limb.
Half point.
10 year note end of day at 4.30 or less. Which by my clock is down 8.38 basis points. 2 year yield loses an eighth.
Stocks are off to the races.
My gut is that stocks are in for two years of catch up from way back to 00-02.
PE Ratios are too good to stay where they are.
5.625 will be paying a quarter Thurday morning at PFA.
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October 30 2007
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Hamp Yonce

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Cali boys forming a team?
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October 30 2007
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Ya guess i'd be pissed to if i lived out there......just hopefully not so ignorant, but who knows may be in the water.
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October 30 2007
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You can always pick up so me Boones Farm to go with that Ramen. So long Don Perignon and Prime Rib!
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October 30 2007
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I wouldn't live any other place..... and why would potential buyers be upset... it gonna be a gold rush like back in the days...lol
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October 30 2007
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Not me, I'm learning how to buy real estate with no money down from TV....
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October 30 2007
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Hamp Yonce

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Cali prices just fell 5 more percent! EARTHQUAKE!
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October 30 2007
Well, Bernanke pulled the trigger on a .25 discount.

The dow has barely moved so far, but as expected, bond have plunged.

Yield is 4.4 and climbing.
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October 31 2007
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Gentlemen

Yeah the 10 Yr Yield is at 4.45 or looking at it conversely is Down 16/32.

Like wer said yesterday, this is probably a Tempory Hick-up and will Eventially filter down to our rates.
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October 31 2007
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He didn't get his tupee back in time however, I think this is the real crisis.
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October 31 2007
Wayne

Its very possible the yield with yo yo up then down next week. I would float all my clients right now .
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October 31 2007
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Hamp Yonce

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It opened at 4.41. Yield gained more in overnight cash market than it has since decision.

If Provident Funding hasn't adjusted pricing downward, then in my mind this decision hasnt affected rates one iota. PFA rates came out worse than yesterday, but then adjusted to one eighth closer to the same as yesterday.

My Equity Line payment, and everybody elses, went down again.
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October 31 2007
Good call Hamp.

I would have expected a bigger knee jerk reaction on Wall st to jumpstart a rally, but I suspect rising oil and european concerns have rained on the parade.
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October 31 2007
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Hamp Yonce

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There comes the adjustment from PFA. A quarter worse. We'll get it back in the morning.
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October 31 2007
Dow is still up a HUN , but i dont expect it to carry on.

We got $94 oil, a doller that is worth .95 CANADIAN, and gold over $800 bucks an ounce.

I dont know if Bernanke or anyone can stop the impending recession that is coming.
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October 31 2007
Bond yield at 4.47.

Expect it to move to 4.53 by tomorrow based on inflation and energy concerns.
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October 31 2007
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Alright boys...(Seems no one is playing today)......

Now lets hear predictions for the next two weeks
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October 31 2007
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Hamp Yonce

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Posting Early

We'll head for the 40 year lows of four years ago or whenever they were.
5.5% 30 year money!

Water Cooler Talk
Damn, I lost 3 grand on my house this week, luckily I made it up on my 401K!
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October 31 2007
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Damn thats pretty optimistic Hamp......What makes ya think we'll dip down, saw a couple bumps today out here. Kinda making me want to cut my losses and lock...
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October 31 2007
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Hamp Yonce

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Recession, Stagflation, Disinflation, Depression, Supply and Demand. Gloom, Doom.

Too much capital too few places to rest it.

Until the Stock Market takes off, and it may tomorrow, housing is still the only game in town and it is unconcious. But not quite dead.

Hey when you price them with 2 on the back you don't have to sweat the locks as much. HAHAHe Youll get those bumps back in the morning.
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October 31 2007

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