May foreclosures steady as banks hold back

Profile picture for geri13293401
The crisis appears to be leveling off; number of people facing foreclosure is nearly flat compared to one year ago
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June 16 2010 - Sarasota

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Profile picture for sunnyview
Leveling off? Where and according to who? Lawrence Yun economist for the NAR here seems to say otherwise. Take a look at his latest presentation mainly slides 26 and 27 that show a clear spike in 90 days late loans/foreclosures and no significant drops on the massive pile of distressed loans.

Banks still have a shadow inventory to pile through and they have chosen to wait to foreclose on some homeowners due to their own backlog. As much as I want the market to be better, that does not mean that the foreclosure train has stopped moving.
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June 17 2010
Profile picture for RichardReid
The key to the statement is "as banks hold back".  The market is essentially level because banks are not foreclosing at the rate of their delinquent experience. 

There are a number of home owners who are holding off as well.  Inventories are substantially off their high, but not because there are really fewer homes that owners want to sell.  Sellers who are able have simply pulled their homes off the market, or refused to put them on at the lower price points that have resulted in sales through the current market.

This is somewhat good news.  The fact that the release of inventory is being controlled is helpful to the market, and to market prices.  It means there is likely to be a much slower rate of appreciation until both of these inventories are consumed.
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June 18 2010
appreciation? are you high? with the credit gone new home buyer loan apps have dropped by 40%. Today's still very high levels of defaults, guarantees prices will begin dropping again in the immediate future. Look for obvious trends across nearly all markets by September.
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June 18 2010
Profile picture for Pasadenan
I think he meant to type depreciation....

But even that is not really the right word as that implies deterioration (or tax write offs); I think the word he wanted was "devaluation", or "downward price adjustment".

Which may or may not be bad news.  Spreading out the adjustment over time only prolongs the inflated market and delays the market from operating in a normal market fashion.

The Realtors state they want the market restored to normal, and then argue what they want is an inflated market.

You can't have it both ways; until the inflated market bubble is fully deflated, it can't go back to normal.
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June 18 2010
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June 18 2010
 
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