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Rates on the move again!

The mortgage rate Gods are giving those fence sitters that missed last week another opportunity. I wonder if they will wait again.

Bring on Pasa and the charts.
  • August 18 2011 - US
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Answers (5485)

Stocks got crushed today. Something about Apple, the Dollar and War (Not necessarily in that order).
10 YR T NOTE Currently 2.50...   A GDP revision for Q1 and lower then estimate number for Q2 send the 10 YR yield tumbling, and stocks drop further too?


http://www.bloomberg.com/markets/economic-calendar/



 
  • September 25 2014
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2.49% on the 10YR T NOTE is "a coming around the mountain"
  • September 25 2014
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No, again, wow, this is great!!!!
  • September 25 2014
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  • September 24 2014
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"800 employees, that's it?" -

I wrote "over 800".  It could easy be as high as 900 or 1000.  But it is unlikely to be over 1200, based on the cash flow posted in their quarterly SEC financial statements.
  • September 24 2014
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Yes. That's because people were still looking to see if the charts would appear? Their bewilderment may have increased the views?

800 employees, that's it? Seems like for a while there have been constant gill net posts for zill-sales reps coming in on the HR wire. I would have guessed there would be more.

I will for sure aim to be around for the 200K party.
Maybe one of those 800 employees will grant the creator of this thread Gregorio Denny back his profile in tribute of this historic event?
(I have to run or I would find a picture of Mel Gibson sweating and spitting in Brave Heart).
  • September 24 2014
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Though Zillow doesn't publish their number of employees, they passed 200 a long time ago.  They have a few numbers published in their "time line", and they have from time to time published company "group photos".

My present estimate of Zillow employees it over 800, considering the "buy outs" and multiple offices, and their heavy weighting of "telemarketers".

Even some of them were looking, the majority of page views are "after hours", and the majority of Zillow employees don't have any interest in looking at the website after work.

More likely a handful if Chinese and Indian students and investors trying to time the U.S. markets, and a handful of loan officers looking for insights for the coming day, and a handful of U.S. media company people looking for "leads" for economic news that other media companies may miss.

Plus the few people that posted on the thread before that realized the topic was way over their head, that are interested in learning more.

What baffled me the most is when the charts disappeared from the thread, it had no impact on page views, and they weren't using the links to go and find the charts.
  • September 24 2014
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I think all Zillow employees may be required to check it daily.
  • September 24 2014
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I think the thread is still getting about 200 page views per day; though I don't know why.

So that makes about 81 days to 200k views, or about 3 months.

December 15th, 2014, +/- 10 days.

In other words, likely "before Christmas", but "after Thanksgiving".

The National Election will have minimal impact on page views.

All Saints Eve won't "scare away" the page views either.
  • September 24 2014
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I see a Kauai Sunset


By the way, when will this thread hit 200K views approximately?
  • September 24 2014
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Pasadenean> Turn the rate graph upside down, then paste it onto the new housing sales, and see if it is pretty. Or, not pretty. That looks like an End of Summer Rate Slip Death Cross, to me. A splurge, maybe.
  • September 24 2014
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New-home sales in August experience a "6 Year High Statistical Anomaly"!

Although it is a mouthful, that definitely covers it more efficiently than 'surge'.  

*The bigger font/numbers helped too. 
 
Sufficient elaboration received.

http://mam.econoday.com/byshoweventfull.asp?fid=461146&cust=mam&year=2014&lid=0&prev=/byweek.asp#top
  • September 24 2014
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It should also be noted that though the 10 year treasury yield did increase 4 basis points after the 10 am Eastern Time news today, it was not very sudden; it was drawn out through the rest of the day.  Investors were really not that impressed, even though the media tried to "spin it" to get a market response.
  • September 24 2014
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Elaboration ----

FLUCTUATION:





Especially as it is annualized seasonally adjusted numbers, and no one has any clue what the seasonal adjustment factors are or should be, and they keep changing.

Besides, if that is a "surge up" now, then surely in the middle of last year we had a proportional "surge down"?

"Surge" is not the "right word".  Maybe "statistical anomaly"?
  • September 24 2014
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  Anti surge, are we?
  • September 24 2014
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Elaborate harder.
  • September 24 2014
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Please elaborate
  • September 24 2014
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That's a "surge"?  Looks more like a "fluctuation" to me...
  • September 24 2014
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  • September 24 2014
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Overlay:
  • September 24 2014
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  • September 23 2014
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  • September 22 2014
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  • September 20 2014
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I added to the chart the FNMA wholesale rates for 30 yr and 15 yr fixed with 30 day lock from the Fannie Mae website.








  • September 18 2014
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  • September 18 2014
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  • September 17 2014
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10 year treasury yield responds by dropping 2 basis points, then immediately rising 7 basis points, then dropping back 4 basis points, then rising again over a few hours by 5 basis points.  A net of about 3 basis points above yesterday's close.  A minor impact on rates/terms.


  • September 17 2014
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  • September 17 2014
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What's that sound...thunder? No...must be the Fed Announcement rolling in.
 
  • September 17 2014
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  • September 17 2014
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