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Rates on the move again!

The mortgage rate Gods are giving those fence sitters that missed last week another opportunity. I wonder if they will wait again.

Bring on Pasa and the charts.
  • August 18 2011 - US
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Answers (5464)

Profile picture for Blue Nile
It certainly "appears" that someone doesn't want this thread to reach 200 views this week.... first the View counter problem, with all view counts on all pages showing "0"; and then the whole website being down all morning, so that no one could view any page!

Coincidence?  I don't think so...  Sabotage?  That doesn't seem very likely either.  Karma?  I do believe in divine intervention, but I don't think it is a "karma" thing.  Nor do I accept "whatever will be will be".  Those Hindu philosophies don't fit very well into my world view, nor to the description of creation and divine relationship described in the Jewish/Christan Bible.
  • April 21
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Don't know if anyone noticed that the "T" should be "M", and the "W" should be "T"....

Oh well; carelessness, and being away for voting...
  • April 21
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Overlay for the day, including yesterday:


  • April 21
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comparison:












  • April 21
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
3.521% average ZMM 30 year fixed quote for Monday:


  • April 21
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Well, it is not easy to interpret; 53 views in 2 days; 23.4 views per day, 6.62 views per post.

Though this seems "low" for the thread, it was a "weekend" and the views are expected to be lower over weekends.

So I don't know if all the page views were counted while the page views were not working, or not.
  • April 20
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
The view counter is now back.... 199,619 views.

Now the question is whether some of the views were "dropped" from the count while the counter was not working?  I guess I should put in the new info into the 200k view extrapolation table to see if it is likely Sunday and 1/2 of Monday's views are there, or not.
  • April 20
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Overlay for the day, including Friday:

  • April 20
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  • April 20
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
My conspiracy theory on the broken Zillow view counter....

Did you check the agent directory recently?  (or loan officer or pro, or ....?)  It use to give a count of the number that met the criterion, even though it never returned more than 25 pages of 10 results per page (250 maximum directory listing results).  We know that Zillow passed 800k Realtors participating recently... but apparently they don't want people to know how many participate, and don't want those kinds of statistics shared with viewers.... so there no longer is a count provided.  It was obviously intentional.  Apparently their abtest cookies told them to do so.


  • April 19
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
This thread doesn't even begin to approach the tavern (conspiracy center)  in views nor posts.

Dune's thread presently has 14,366 response posts... that is more than twice the donut hole limit!  Dunes thread entered the donut hole when it exceeded 6k response posts.  And presently, Dune's thread is still the only thread with a donut hole.

It reached 100k views on it's first anniversary, and was at 214k views with 10,395 response posts on 4/10/12.

On 6/12/12, it had exceeded 333,333, and 10,902 posts.


  • April 19
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Profile picture for Dunes ..
Congrads on passing the Tavern view count......it's an impressive accomp.......oh wait everyone's tied/passed it  now
Nevermind !
  • April 19
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"Update on when thread is anticipated to reach 200k views:
4/25/15"
 

Says Zero views...?  What happened to the other 199,000?



oh, all the posts say zero views...hello bug. 
  • April 19
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Update on when thread is anticipated to reach 200k views:
4/25/15


  • April 18
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
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  • April 18
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
3.522% average ZMM 30 year fixed quote for Friday:


  • April 18
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Overlay for Thursday and Friday:


  • April 17
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Profile picture for eileenpunch943
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  • April 17
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comparison:












  • April 16
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
3.533% average ZMM 30 year fixed quote for Thursday (about 3 basis points higher than Wednesday):


  • April 16
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Overlay for the day, including yesterday:


  • April 16
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Jobless Claims came in substantially above consensus range.  (should have lowered interest rates and yields).  Housing Starts came in below consensus (should also have lowered interest rates and yields).  10 year treasury responded to the combination of the two (both at 8:30 am Eastern time) by dropping 1 basis point (minimal; almost no impact).

Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey (10 am Eastern time) came in above the prior month.  10 year treasury yield responded by rising 4 basis points.

Several FED reserve people spoke at 1 pm Eastern time, and the 10 year treasury yield dropped 2 basis points in response.

Average mortgage interest rate quotes should be higher today than yesterday.

I hope people took the opportunity to lock.

  • April 16
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  • April 16
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
By the way, with it so close to 3.5%, it is probably a good time to "lock", if you still can... it is unlikely to stay there any length of time.
  • April 15
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  • April 15
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Getting close to 3.5% again!  3.505% average ZMM 30 year fixed quote for Wednesday (tax day...):


  • April 15
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
Overlay for the day and yesterday:


  • April 15
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Profile picture for Blue Nile
The Empire State Mfg Survey came in way below the consensus range, and way below the prior month.

The Industrial Production came in way below the consensus, and way below the prior month.

The National Association of Home Builders Housing Market Index came in slightly above consensus, and slightly above the prior month, but the prior month index value was revised down.

Approximately a 3 basis point drop in the 10 year treasury yield in response to the manufacturing news.  Approximately a 2 basis point rise in the 10 year treasury yield in response to the housing index for new housing news.  Much of that will disappear.

A basis point change in 10 year treasury yield approximately equals a basis point change in average fixed interest mortgage interest rate quotes.

Remember, mortgage interest rates are rounded to 1/8% incriminates when quoted and funded.  12.5 basis points is 1/8%.  The difference is made up in the fees and credits.
  • April 15
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  • April 15
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  • April 15
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