The second leg of the downturn will start within 2 weeks, watch the DOW and call me on it :)

Profile picture for Aldreth

Don't you just love predictions? I sure do :) If I am wrong, I don't get a cookie :(

 

Keep an eye on commercial real estate REIT's specifically, they are about to implode as are mortgage rates. There is such a preponderance of fairy tales, pink ponies, care bears and positivity out there that only one thing can remain certain. Reality is about to rear its ugly head.

 

 

You know what, if these delusions of grandeur go on much longer, I'll just start myself a Bank, I'd also like to loan out 10 bucks for every dollar I receive, any takers? I'll name it ...

 

(: Bank of Happiness Inc. :)

What should my slogan be?

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May 12 2008 - US

Replies (151)

Bank of Happiness Inc. Slogan:

 

"It would fraud if you did what we do, that's why we're here."

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May 12 2008

Bah can't leave words out of a slogan:

 

"It would BE fraud if you did what we do, that's why we're here."

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

lol :)

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

Hopefully the DOW will go to 13,500 so I can puke all over myself.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for jal74

Pretty bold prediction.  Two weeks, well I can wait and see.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for TunaFish83
Lets start a pool....I call Oct. 1st
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May 12 2008
Profile picture for jmeirhofer

Slogan #1:  "You bank it, we'll tank it"

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

BTW the FDIC just listed another bank failure, if you didn't hear about it already. ANB Financial based out of AR.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Rob Cochems

Wow they had 9 locations!  You better stuff your money in a mattress!

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

Let's see Rob, that makes.... Metropolitan Savings Bank, NetBank, Miami Valley Bank, Douglass National Bank, Hume Bank and now ANB Financial since this all started collapsing. Oh and BTW we have already tied last year in bank failures.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

'05 and '06 = 0 bank failures.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Rob Cochems

Years of easy profits, tell me how many banks failed from 90-93.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

S&L Crisis = 150 billion

 

Stimulus Checks = 150 billion

 

 

I think you need better ammunition.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for nstarr

Thank you stimulus check!  I wonder where the 150 billion will flow through?  Maybe, it'll go to oil and help futher consumption..further exacerbate the demand for gas (price will go futher)...there will be a big thump due to the spike in oil price.  All thanks to the simulus check!  Man, it seems like all things are funneled to oil.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Rob Cochems

How many banks failed?  I don't need dollars.

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for gunner69

I watch the REITS all the time and will call you on this one!

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May 12 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

Should I claim victory?

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May 23 2008

If I had a cookie I would give it to you - but daughter just had the last one.  8)

 

All I can say is that I am glad hub dumped our major holding at the beginning of the week.  We bought back in today though.......happy thoughts, happy thoughts.

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May 23 2008
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May 23 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

We are riding a very thin line on the dow, if we see another significant downturn, we could touch the lows from the .COM bust. If those do not hold... eek.

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May 23 2008

As of today victory!

 

but what of Tuesday?

 

PPT going to be in overdrive scheming the long weekend away.

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May 23 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

I am still waiting for an implosion and this weekend, which would be a good time for one.

 

The FED stated that there will be no more rate cuts, no matter what happens to the economy.

 

Oh, and they also stated that unemployment will be devastating.

 

When did they state that? At the exact moment the DOW retraced the valley of the peaks. May 21st.

 

What does that mean? I haven't a clue, but it cannot be good.

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May 23 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

K101 you gave my cookie to your daughter? awww :(

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May 23 2008
Profile picture for CORONA NICK

Aldreth... although I dont really care about the DOW, since I have no money invested in the stock market.... I hope your wrong.... and gas prices suck...lol

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May 23 2008

Sorry - she needed it more.  8)

 

We are wary of the chartology. Kind of a rock and a hard place though. You sit out totally and there is a good chance of feeling burned too.

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May 23 2008
Profile picture for randy321

I think we have a little more time - But, Aldreth - you're right on... I give it at least another year or two... It'll be a long drawn out process as the recession gets worse, less businesses open up, all of the speculators with commercial property begin losing because the revenue doesnt come in... It's a slow time line, and it won't be a 2 week thing...

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May 23 2008

Luge

 

 How's the preserve loooking. I heard some clown say they finally sold out. Which translates into there will be some openings in the not too distant future! Are you prepared to deal with the cow doodoo stench and the horrible fly problem? hang in there.

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May 23 2008
Profile picture for Aldreth

"We are wary of the chartology."

 

---Good. One of the very few who even know it does exist.

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May 23 2008
Profile picture for Bette Defarm
Here's what I don't get: Where are all the people that should be thanking Aldreth for taking the time and effort to help?

IMHO Those who listened and reaped the benefit should check in. I know who you are--- Say something already :*)

Why should Aldreth and others continue to expend their time and energy when it appears to go no where?
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May 23 2008
Profile picture for Bette Defarm
My blog will shut down tonight at 10pm 5/23/08. Enough. Bring it here.
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May 23 2008
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