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WHEN IS THE BEST TIME TO BUY????

Profile picture for first t buyer
I personally waiting for the Alt-A and Option ARMs close to the end of resetting..
not sure I am right or wrong.
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December 30 2008 - US

Replies (20)

the best time to buy would be when prices are low and financing interest rates are low. Right now the average median home price in southern california is 275,000.00 and interest rates have never been lower 5% is at a no point cost on a purchase 30 year fixed loan.




If you have any questions feel free to call anytime.


Best Regards,


Gilbert Ramos
RJF Realtors
29995 Technology Dr
Murrrieta,CA 92563
951-551-0215 Direct
rehomegallery@gmail.com
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December 30 2008
the answer is yesterday!  Hind sight is always 20/20 . . the property values are at or near bottom and rates are beyond good . . . why wait?   It is optimum timing for a great deal . . . there are a number of issues and worries in the world news that could have a dramatic effect on interest rates . . .the property values bottoming out won't change overnight . . . shop while there are very motivated sellers out there..

good luck
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December 30 2008
Profile picture for sunnyview
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I do not know what state you are in, but you should wait to buy until you are sure that you really want to buy. The market is very unstable due to the larger economy and is still falling in many areas. The foreclosure hold over the holidays makes it hard to judge the real market right now. I would wait until you know how those new foreclosures will affect prices in your local market. There is time to look for the exact right property at the right price. No need to hurry. Be patient and do lots of research.
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December 30 2008
Profile picture for first t buyer
i am in northern ca
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December 30 2008
Profile picture for quantguy
As someone who is also planning to buy, I'd tell you that I'm waiting at least another 4 months before deciding to do anything. Prices keep falling, and the economy is not doing any better, so who knows when the housing market is going to recover, the only thing that seems definite is that is not going to recover in the short term. Why would I buy something now that in 4 to 6 months would be 5% cheaper??? And we are talking about tens of thousands here, not just change.

Beware of the "now is the best time to buy" mantra. I was reading an article in Yahoo finance about the worst predictions for 2008 and one of them was from the National Association of Realtors press release, saying "Existing-Home Sales to Trend Up in 2008", this was in Dec 2007, imagine that.
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December 30 2008
I believe now is the best time to buy. With interest rates being low and the inventory higher than normal.
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December 30 2008
Profile picture for javi30
Contributions: 81
"I believe now is the best time to buy. With interest rates being low and the inventory higher than norm"

so you said that next year won't be any cheaper? I live in socal and let me tell you over here still really expensive to buy!!
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December 30 2008
Profile picture for Bitter Renter Ron

The Wall Street Journal reported that the forclosure rate will double next year and Fortune Magazine is predicting that Los Angeles real estate prices will drop 25% next year yet Gilbert and Richard say buy now.

Gilbert and Richard have no shame.  :-(

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December 30 2008
Profile picture for Space_Truss
Contributions: 177

All the realtors here were telling the same thing last year. But prices came down at least 10% in the North East. (not the listing prices, I am talking about the sales prices) I am wondering where they are hiding now.

All same sentences from last year to this year:  rates are historic low: (was 6.5%!!!!! ) and inventory is high. Rates are even more "historic low" now. That means realtors are not good at analyzing the market and economy, they couldn't see the future. 

Go and search the 2007 posts, all of them were saying that 6.5% interest rate would not be possible in close future. Lets repeat again: what is 30 yrs rate today ? 5 (FIVE).

Lets come and find this topic next year.

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December 30 2008
Let's review a little to understand where we are today . .  Rates have never been lower than they are now . . . we have not had this kind of melt-down since the Great Depression . . . no-one could have predicted accuately where we are today . . .current property values are about the same levels as 2001 having risen from a normal market from the previous years 1998-2001 . the affordability factor is at its highest level since 1998 . . . anyone who buys a home in 09 will be purchasing "near" the bottom of the market.  As a pendulum swings it either approaches the bottom or is rising off of the bottom . . . you win on either side of the bottom . . . I believe that the bottom of the market is approaching and any purchase in the next 6 months is a good one . . . you'll be glad you did . . .
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December 30 2008
Profile picture for KevinJR
Contributions: 79
Best time to buy in Northern California?   1993 to about 1998 were quite good.  I think 2010 to 2012 will be quite good too.

In between 1999 to 2009?  Not so good.  Within that, 2005 and 2006 were the worst.  But even 2009 you are catching a serious falling knife.

Watch the San Francsico case-shiller index, which is a decent proxy for NorCal.   When it stops dropping for about five or six months in a row then I think it is safe to wade back in the market.  Right now?   As dangerous as its ever been.  The data out today showed SF prices dropped 4.2% in one month.  This is not "close to or near the bottom," this is a market in as close to free-fall as you get in real estate.

As you will see above, realtors will tell you that 2+2=5 with a straight face if they think it will help convince you to pay them a commission.  Just don't listen is my advice on that front - use unbiased sources.

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December 30 2008
Profile picture for REALTOR_GRI
Real Estate Agent

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Lrryjrry,


When you begin to see some stability. Examples would be 6mos or less of inventory for a period longer than 1yr. Prices that are more stable, If you are concerned about missing a bottom…don’t be, it will be here for awhile once it gets here.

Every since the day I became an agent it has been a great time to buy! 2005-06 was the peak for most of my area.

People said to buy because prices were going up/interest rates were good.

When prices began to fall, people said to buy because prices were falling and you could get a great deal.


Take this time to build your credit, save for a down payment and to find an agent who will take all the time you need to get you through the process. Buy a house you can afford with a fixed rate for the life of the loan.

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December 31 2008
Profile picture for K101
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"the answer is yesterday!  Hind sight is always 20/20 . . the property values are at or near bottom and rates are beyond good . ."

More unqualified and unsubstantiated BS about the "bottom."  Perhaps Richard Bills can share some of his local data to support his statements as to his immediate area.  However, property values in my area are not close to "at or near bottom."  If I bought yesterday, I would already have lost money.

Now, KevinJR and Realtor_GRI hit the nail squarely on the head.  Triple snaps in Z formation for the straight-talking, informed and genuinely helpful agents of Zillow!
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December 31 2008
Profile picture for nycbpc
Contributions: 183

"Rates have never been lower than they are now"

Yes, interest rates have been lower. And it is going even lower. There's a article in the WSJ today that says the feds plan to buy $500 billion in MBS next year to push mortgage rates lower.

So with housing price continuing to plummet in the majority of the markets, the Feds manipulating and distorting the markets, and an economy continuing to deteriortate, there will be an even better time to buy in the future.

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December 31 2008
Profile picture for klarek the realist
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Asking this question is like spreading peanut butter on your counter.  The hungry little mice go straight for it.  Those little rodents are simply clueless about the real estate market.  It's their job, and they know nothing about it other than BUY NOW.
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December 31 2008
Profile picture for first t buyer
Anyone knows where we are on the ARMs? those are really killed the market.
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January 01 2009
Profile picture for first t buyer
Thanks Kelvin for the advise,  do you know where can I keep track on the San Francsico case-shiller index?
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January 01 2009
Profile picture for consumer22
klarek the realist
k101

you can be sure that I would not pay for your advise...........
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January 02 2009
Profile picture for klarek the realist
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Good, I don't make money from my advice so it would be unfortunate for you to be paying for it.
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January 02 2009
Profile picture for CHUTTA
Real Estate Agent

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LMAO Klarek!
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January 02 2009
 

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