Zillow Advice: Home Buying - How does zillow's appraisal formaula account for market flux by location? http://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/How-does-zillow%27s-appraisal-formaula-account-for-market-flux-by-location/240233/ Zillow Advice | Zillow Real Estate Hi,watch this video http://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/How-does-zillow%27s-appraisal-formaula-account-for-market-flux-by-location/240233/ Hi,<br/><a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uaeAgfay01o" rel="nofollow">watch this video</a> Fri, 29 May 2009 18:30:00 GMT http://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/How-does-zillow%27s-appraisal-formaula-account-for-market-flux-by-location/240233/ 2009-05-29T18:30:00Z Zillow doesn't do "appraisals" ... http://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/How-does-zillow%27s-appraisal-formaula-account-for-market-flux-by-location/240233/ Zillow doesn't do "appraisals" they do "estimates" based on the "least squares curve fit" method, also known as "linear regression".&nbsp; To get a better understanding of how this works, if you have Excel on your computer, look up the LINEST function in the help file (F1 key), and look especially at example #3 "multiple linear regression".<br/><br/>The data used is from public county records, and recent sales, provided by 3rd party sources.&nbsp; As the curve fits use all available public records data with all local sales, they are by nature tracking values for the local area, not some other area.<br/><br/>Still, the error margin is usually about +/-15% due to 1) lack of sufficient recent sales, 2) specific items affecting values that aren't reflected in county public records data, and 3) market idiosyncracies that cause a percentage of sales to not match the trends.&nbsp; (Zillow tries to filter some of those out.&nbsp; But unless it is way out of line, it is hard to know if a sale is a "special case").<br/><br/>The Z-index trends for an area (neighborhood, zip code, city, county, state...) are actually more useful as the random fluxuations and random estimating errors tend to average out.&nbsp; The Z-index is a "median" value meaning 1/2 the ownership residential units have higher value, and 1/2 the ownership residential units have lower value.&nbsp; Zillow uses a Z-estimate for EVERY ownership residential unit to calculated the median, unlike <a href="http://www.zillow.com/directory/real-estate-agents/">realtors</a> that tend to only base their median on the properties that recently sold.<br/> Thu, 28 May 2009 22:52:00 GMT http://www.zillow.com/advice-thread/How-does-zillow%27s-appraisal-formaula-account-for-market-flux-by-location/240233/ 2009-05-28T22:52:00Z