Case-Shiller Forecast: Expecting Further Slowdowns Ahead


The Case-Shiller data for May 2014 came out this morning, and based on this information and the June...

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Case-Shiller: Home Prices Fall From April to May


Today, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices showed that the non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) May 10- and 20-City...

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The Long and Winding Recovery


Zillow’s second quarter Real Estate Market Reports show that national home values rose 1.0 percent...

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Why Rising Mortgage Rates Could Mean Falling Home Sales


Executive summary Over the next year, the underlying drivers of the housing market will approach...

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Recent Posts and Data

Case-Shiller Forecast: Expecting Further Slowdowns Ahead
July 29, 2014

The Case-Shiller data for May 2014 came out this morning, and based on this information and the June 2014 Zillow Home Value Index (ZHVI, released July 20th), we predict that next month’s Case-Shiller data (June 2014) will show that both the non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) 20-City Composite Home Price Index and the NSA 10-City Composite Home […]

Case-Shiller: Home Prices Fall From April to May
July 29, 2014

Today, the S&P/Case-Shiller Home Price Indices showed that the non-seasonally adjusted (NSA) May 10- and 20-City Composites rose 9.4 percent and 9.3 percent, respectively, on a year-over-year basis, in line with Zillow’s forecast released last month. On a seasonally adjusted (SA) monthly basis, the 10- and 20-City Composites both fell -0.3 percent from April to […]

The Long and Winding Recovery
July 20, 2014

Zillow’s second quarter Real Estate Market Reports show that national home values rose 1.0 percent from the first quarter of 2014 to $174,200 (Figure 1). On a year-over-year basis, home values were up 6.3 percent (Figure 2) from June 2013. The last time national home values were at this level was in March 2005. Rents […]

Why Rising Mortgage Rates Could Mean Falling Home Sales
July 17, 2014

Executive summary Over the next year, the underlying drivers of the housing market will approach a delicate handoff as a market driven by accommodative monetary policy gives way to one driven by macroeconomic fundamentals. In this analysis, we estimate a model of Existing Home Sales to assess the contributions of monetary policy versus macroeconomic fundamentals […]

Defining the Riskiest Markets for Home Purchases
July 8, 2014

Many home buyers in the United States purchase a home with the expectation that, when they sell, the home will have appreciated in value, and will be worth more than the current owner paid for the home. However, the housing bubble that reached its peak in 2007 and the subsequent decline in home values forced […]

Who is Buying What Types of Homes with Cash?
July 3, 2014

As home values fell after the peak in 2007, many investors entered the market and purchased lower priced homes with all cash. As investor-driven activity has been fading, more traditional buyers have re-entered the market while the mortgage rates are still low. As a result, the portion of home purchases made with all cash fell […]

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