Zillow Research

Mortgage Rates Little Changed During Government Shutdown

Mortgage Rates Sideways Amid Economic Uncertainty

Typically, the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) employment report, originally scheduled for October 3, would have been a key market mover for mortgage rates, offering insight into how much the Federal Reserve might adjust monetary policy in response to a cooling labor market. However, with the government shutdown delaying major economic data releases, markets are relying on alternative data sources, which may have contributed to the narrow range for mortgage rate movements over the last week.

Impact on the Housing Market

Despite the economic uncertainty, current market conditions present a unique opportunity for financially prepared buyers. Although affordability remains challenging, buyers currently have greater negotiating power than in previous years. Homes are staying on the market longer, giving potential buyers additional time to evaluate their choices.

About the author

Dr. Kara Ng is a Senior Economist on Zillow’s Economic Research team, where she analyzes housing data to identify emerging trends. In prior roles in financial services, she built quantitative models to forecast macroeconomic and financial conditions, guiding asset allocation and strategy. Dr. Ng earned her Ph.D. in economics from the University of Washington, where she focused on quantitative methods for forecasting. She enjoys leveraging data-driven insights to inform buyers, sellers, and industry professionals.
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