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Zillow Research

Stories by Aaron Terrazas

Aaron is a Senior Economist at Zillow. To learn more about Aaron, click here.

Mortgage Rates Steady, But Tax Reform Could Mean Higher Rates Ahead

Absent spending cuts, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act – enacted in December – is likely to boost federal government borrowing, meaning that mortgage borrowers will increasingly be competing with Uncle Sam for long-term loans at the same time more investors are willing to take a risk on overseas investments, which could mean less money for U.S. markets, including bonds. Together, these forces should push up interest rates over the coming months.

Mortgage Rates Ending 2017 Slightly Below 2016

Despite three rate hikes by the Federal Reserve over the past year (four if one counts the last 13 months), the standard 30-year fixed mortgage rate ends 2017 about 20 basis points below where it stood at the end of 2016. It is difficult to imagine this continuing much into 2018.

Case-Shiller October Results and November Forecast: Still Defying Gravity

The housing market’s resistance to headwinds is a testament to the enduring value Americans place on homeownership. The Case-Shiller National Index for October climbed 6.2 percent year-over-year. Seattle, Las Vegas and San Diego continued to post the strongest annual gains in its 20-City Composite Index, with increases of 12.7 percent, 10.2 percent and 8.1 percent, respectively.

Rapid Reaction: November New Home Sales

2017 was OK for new home sales, but there’s no question it could have been a lot better and that more can and needs to be done by builders to address the ongoing inventory crunch the market has been enduring for the past several years.