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Zillow Research

Stories by Aaron Terrazas

Aaron is a Senior Economist at Zillow. To learn more about Aaron, click here.

Key Takeaways from the January New Home Sales Report

January new home sales rose 3.7 percent from December, to 555,000 units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR), according to the U.S. Census Bureau. The rebound in new home sales was expected to some degree, given weak December sales which were likely impacted by unseasonably cold weather across much of the country. However, sales were weaker than the consensus forecast, suggesting a modestly disappointing report.

January Home Sales Forecast: Seasonal Adjustment Disorder

Tight inventory will continue to weigh on existing home sales, according to our January home sales forecast, while new home sales should rebound from a slow December. Looking farther ahead, shifting behaviors among home sellers, buyers and builders make it trickier to read definitive trends in seasonally-adjusted home sales data.

December Home Sales Forecast: Will Buyer Resilience Continue?

Unseasonably cold weather across much of the country along with still-tight inventory and rising mortgage rates weighed on home sales in December according to Zillow’s December home sales forecast. We expect existing home sales, which will be published on Tuesday by the National Association of Realtors, to fall 1.2 percent in December to 5.54 million units at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR)

Blue and Red Home Values

Home values in counties that voted for Hillary Clinton had a more exaggerated boom and bust than in those that voted for Donald Trump, and homes in counties that voted for Trump are generally more affordable, according to a Zillow analysis of county-level home values, negative equity and affordability.

November Home Sales Forecast: Rising Rates, Cooling Markets?

November home sales data will be a critical test of the resiliency of the American housing market. After falling steadily for much of the past two years, mortgage rates rose in mid-November as markets responded to the results of the U.S. presidential election. By the end of the month, rates were about 50 basis points above where they stood in October.