Have questions about buying, selling or renting during COVID-19? Learn more

Zillow Research

Stories by Aaron Terrazas

Aaron is a Senior Economist at Zillow. To learn more about Aaron, click here.

Mortgage Rates in 2016: Gradually, Then Suddenly

At the start of 2016, expectations were high for mortgage rates. Following the Federal Reserve Board’s December 2015 rate hike, the first in a decade, financial markets expected mortgage rates to steadily inch higher with a series of three to four more Fed rate hikes over the year. Instead, mortgage rates followed the famous path to bankruptcy described by Ernest Hemingway: They moved gradually, then suddenly.

Will More Oil Prove a Boon or Burden to West Texas?

Last month, geologists announced the discovery of an oil field in West Texas that is likely the largest ever found in the United States – typically the kind of announcement that could be expected to reap big economic dividends for local communities, including a big boost to home values. But in today’s economic and geopolitical climate, the presence of the oil itself will likely matter less to the local economy than global markets’ reaction to it.

October Home Sales Forecast: Sooner or Later, Gravity Wins

Home sales have been surprisingly robust in 2016, despite steadily contracting for-sale inventory. Existing home sales have grown on average by about 1.1 percent each month in 2016, even as inventory has fallen by about 1.7 percent each month over the same time. Higher velocity – homes spending less time on the market and buyers spending more – has allowed the market to seemingly defy gravity. But sooner or later, gravity wins.