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Zillow Research

Rising Rents Mean Larger Homeless Population

It’s well documented that there’s a connection between escalating rents and growing numbers of people experiencing homelessness. With this new research, we quantify that effect in 25 major metro areas. We found that in four metros currently experiencing a crisis in homelessness — Los Angeles, New York, Washington, D.C., and Seattle – the relationship between rising rents and increased homelessness is particularly strong.

Financial Hardship Is Widespread, Especially for Households Earning Less Than $40,000

Nearly a third (30.0 percent) of households nationwide – meaning about 73 million adults— report they are struggling or just getting by financially, according to data from the Federal Reserve Board’s recently released 2016 Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking (SHED). More than half (51.3 percent) say they do not have enough funds saved to cover three months of living expenses.

For Many Low-Income Renters, Even Low-End Apartments Aren’t Affordable

In the 25 largest metro areas in the country, people with low incomes pay far more than 30 percent for rent. Even markets that were not historically out of reach now take a large chunk of low-income renters’ dollars. In Houston, the median low-income earner spends 65.1 percent of her income on the median bottom-tier rent. In Tampa, it’s 59.1 percent. In Philadelphia, 57.3 percent.

Highlights From Research on Rents and Homelessness

We used statistical modeling to improve homeless population estimates, then created a framework for investigating how changes in rent would affect the size of the homeless population. Given that logistics and expenses prevent metros from conducting more counts of homeless populations each year, this research also offers a statistical way to generate hypothetical additional counts every year.