September 2022 Case-Shiller Results & Forecast: Holding Tight
September brought about high interest rates and slowing sales, which continued to slow home price growth annually. On a monthly level, home prices continued to drop. While buyers are stepping aside waiting for more affordable prices and rates – causing the slowdown on price growth – would-be sellers are sticking their ground and holding tight to the inventory they currently own.
Zillow Home Value and Sales Forecast: November 2022
Zillow’s forecast for existing home sales in 2022 was revised down slightly as leading indicators point to continued slowing in the housing market in the near term.
Mortgage Rates Fall As Inflation Reports Easing Pressures
Mortgage rates fell sharply this week after a blockbuster report on inflation showed that price pressures may finally be easing.
Two-year Rent Growth Streak Ends in Small Step Toward Normalcy
Asking rents across the U.S. finally ended a non-stop growth streak in October, falling 0.1% month-over-month and marking the first monthly decline in two years. The small step down is reminiscent of a more “normal” rental market, in line with October declines seen in each of the three autumns before the pandemic. The Zillow Observed Rent Index pegs typical national rent at $2,040 in October, still 9.6% above year-ago levels.
Mortgage Rates Up Slightly Despite Midterms and Job Figures
Mortgage rates were up slightly this week, holding firm near 20-year highs after an eventful seven days filled with key monetary policy, economic and political updates. After rising strongly in response to comments from the Federal Reserve indicating that more rate hikes and policy tightening were likely in the coming months, mortgage rates had a muted reaction to the October jobs figures, which showcased a resilient, but softening labor market.
Mortgage Rates Enjoy a Calm Period, but Choppier Waters are Likely Ahead
Mortgage rates ticked up slightly this week and enjoyed a period of relative calm, as markets eagerly anticipated Federal Reserve policy updates and gauges of the economy for where to head next. But more pronounced movements are likely in the coming days.
Mortgage Rates Reverse as Investors Expect Moderation
Mortgage rates fell this week, touching 20-year highs before retreating considerably in recent days. The sharp reversal over the past few trading sessions – a rarity these days – suggests that investors may finally be expecting some moderation in the Fed’s pace of monetary policy tightening and some softening in key economic data releases – the two factors that have combined to push rates firmly higher this year.
Mortgage Rates Rise on Persistent Inflation
Mortgage rates continued to increase last week as economic data showed more persistent inflation than expected.
Zillow Home Value and Sales Forecast: October 2022
Zillow expects home value growth to continue to slow over the coming months. The national Zillow Home Value Index, which increased by 12.9% in the twelve months ending in September, is expected to grow by just 1.3% in the next twelve months, according to Zillow’s monthly home value forecast. This long-term outlook is in line with last month’s projections, which called for a 1.2% annual increase.
Mortgage Rates Rise to Twenty Year High
Mortgage rates pressed higher again this week, reaching 20-year highs as markets digested economic developments on both sides of the Atlantic.
