Market Moves Closer to Balance as Sellers Return and Buyers Balk (May 2024 Market Report)
Home value growth eases along with competition – price relief may be on the horizon.

Home value growth eases along with competition – price relief may be on the horizon.
Home sellers are returning to the market but finding buyers hesitating. Fresh listings of houses rose significantly over last year – outpacing sales and cooling buyer competition and home price appreciation. Zillow forecasts further price relief on the horizon – further injections of inventory and mortgage rates expected to stay elevated through the year should temper competition.
New listings from sellers took a significant step up in May, rising 8% month over month (a bit more than pre-pandemic averages) and 13% above last year’s extremely low pace. The effects of ‘rate lock,’ owners holding on to their existing homes and low-rate mortgages, appear to be lessening over time, even as most outstanding mortgages have a rate well below what’s currently being quoted on the market. A Zillow survey of recent sellers found a large majority (about 80%) were influenced by life events, such as getting married or having a child – not necessarily just by when financial conditions are optimal.
But buyers aren’t matching sellers’ uptick in activity – sales in May [1] were 6% lower than last year’s already-low volume. This helped partially restock the housing shelves – the number of homes on the market rose 22% compared to last year’s near-record-low level. Inventory is still 34% below pre-pandemic levels, but that’s the smallest deficit in more than three years.
As a result, competition among buyers eased in May and home price appreciation cooled with it. Growth in the Zillow Home Value Index slowed from 4.4% year over year in April to 3.9% in May, while monthly appreciation ticked down from 1.2% in April to 0.8% in May. Home values are now 45% above what they were before the pandemic.
Renters struggling to save up for a down payment may get a slight reprieve in the coming year. Zillow forecasts home values will end 2024 up 0.4% on the year, and tick down 1.4% through May 2025.
Zillow’s Market Heat Index shows the nation is becoming a bit friendlier for buyers and is headed toward ‘neutral’ territory, but sellers still hold a slight advantage. Buffalo, Hartford and San Jose are the top markets for sellers among the 50 largest metro areas. New Orleans, Miami, Jacksonville and Memphis are all tilted toward buyers, giving those in the market better leverage in negotiations.
Nationwide, nearly a quarter of all homes for sale received a price cut in May – the highest share in at least the last six years for this time of year. There’s a good chance that buyers can purchase a lingering property for less than list price. This environment makes experienced agents all the more valuable for both buyers and sellers – to find and negotiate deals for buyers, and to price and market properties correctly for sellers.
The value of a typical home in the U.S. is $360,310. The typical monthly mortgage payment, assuming 20% down, is $1,931.
[1] Tracked by Zillow’s Sales Count NowCast