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Zillow Research

Rates Retreat on Renewed Trade Tensions

Mortgage rates fell slightly this week amid growing concerns surrounding trade talks between China and the U.S.

Mortgage rates fell slightly this week amid growing concerns surrounding trade talks between China and the U.S.

In a week light on economic data releases, the ongoing negotiations took center stage after President Trump threatened to raise tariffs on imported Chinese goods. The President’s message fanned the flames of a trade dispute that had previously appeared to be nearing its conclusion. Investors subsequently fled to a safe haven in the form of bonds, which pushed mortgage rates downward.

For months, expectations that the lengthy trade dispute would come to an amicable conclusion have buoyed Treasury yields – and mortgage rates – despite other forces nudging them downward. Hope remains that the two nations will soon reach a deal, but rates will remain vulnerable to trade-related news in the coming days either way, particularly in the absence of market-moving economic data releases.

Should the talks completely fall apart, and a more damaging global trade war ensue, this week’s mortgage rate declines will likely appear modest in retrospect.

Rates Retreat on Renewed Trade Tensions