Mortgage Rates Continue Fall While Investors Price in Recession Risk
Mortgage rates continued to move lower last week. While mortgage rates are still significantly higher than the beginning of this year, they have declined over 0.50% from highs in mid-June that were over 6.00%. Economic indicators last week pointed to slowing growth and continuing increases in initial jobless claims.
Renters: Results from the Zillow Consumer Housing Trends Report 2022
The 2022 Consumer Housing Trends Report (CHTR) provides a snapshot of what housing consumers are thinking and doing in early-to-mid 2022. In this report, we take a deeper look at renters For the first time in recent years, CHTR includes both renters who have moved in the last year (the historical focus of the report), as well as tenured renters who have lived in their homes longer.
June New Home Sales: Builder Slow Down Meets Declining Sales
A June decline in new home sales was to be expected given recent market shifts and reported slump in homebuilder sentiment, but the reported value of 590,000 new home sales in June was way under consensus.
Mortgage Rates Decline Despite High Inflation Indicators
Mortgage rates declined last week, even with very high inflation indicators. In economic data released last week, both consumer and producer prices showed higher than anticipated increases. But investors continue to price in a potential recession in 2023, which may force the Federal Reserve to begin lowering the federal funds target sometime next year.
June Existing Home Sales: Existing Home Sales Slip Further as Market Rebalances
As mortgage rates stay elevated and inflation burns on, affordability is still top of mind for many would-be home buyers, keeping demand on the sidelines and constricting home sales further than expectations suggested.
Zillow Home Value and Sales Forecast: July 2022
Zillow’s housing market outlook has been revised down from June. Zillow forecasts 7.8% home value growth over the next 12 months (July 2022-June 2023).
Monthly payments on a typical mortgage are more than 75% higher than they were in June 2019. Affordability challenges are tamping down competition in formerly red-hot markets, causing steep drops in pending sales in places like San Jose, Seattle, and Salt Lake.
Dr. Skylar Olsen Returns as Zillow Chief Economist
Dr. Skylar Olsen Returns as Zillow Chief Economist.
