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Zillow Research

Zillow Rent Forecast: Expected Rental Growth Will Vary Widely From City-to-City, Even Within the Same Metro

Annual growth in median rents nationwide has slowed considerably from last summer’s breakneck pace, offering some relief to renters struggling to pay less money to their landlords and put more money into savings for a home purchase. But just because rental growth is slowing down, doesn’t mean it’s not still growing – and incredibly quickly – in some of the nation’s hottest markets, according to the Zillow Rent Forecast, contributing to continued affordability concerns.

Rent Affordability by Tier: High Rents Aren’t a Problem If You Earn Enough to Afford them

As growth in rents outpaces growth in incomes, rent affordability (the share of the typical American’s income that goes to rent) has steadily deteriorated over the past five years – from a historic average of 26 percent, to roughly 30 percent currently. But focusing only on medians can sometimes hide more than it reveals. In this case, there are sharply different trends at the top and at the bottom of the market.

Zillow Rent Index by Tier: Low-End Demand, High-End Supply

As rent overall continues to grow, rents are growing faster across the board among low-end apartments as demand for more affordable rentals stays hot. But rather than build more units at the bottom end of the market to meet this demand, apartment developers have instead focused their efforts on adding more supply at the high end.

As Rents and Home Values Rise in Many Markets, Is Tech Industry Really to Blame?

There is certainly a reason that many people associate the tech industry with pricey and unaffordable housing. In metropolitan areas with a large share of tech workers, rents and home values are considerably higher. But the reality is that expensive housing often follows in areas where a good share of individuals are earning high wages – whether they work in tech, finance, law, or any number of other industries associated with hefty paychecks.

Luxury Apartment Rent Growth Slowing

After growing at a blistering pace for much of 2015, apartment rents across the county are growing at a slower pace thus far in 2016 – and the slowdown has been particularly dramatic on luxury apartment rent in higher-end ZIP codes.